RADZ GeoForesight

Board-Defensible Corridor Exposure Quantification

Deterministic fusion of vessel activity, geopolitical signals, disaster alerts, and structural concentration — into posture, 30-day Cost at Risk, and Restore Time tails.

(Feedback form and anonymized benchmark screenshot will be added next.)

The Hidden Risk in Global Connectivity

Subsea cables carry 99% of international data — yet remain one of the most fragile layers of global infrastructure.

200+ faults per year. Repair times frequently 30–120+ days. Direct costs $1M–$100M+, indirect impact often orders of magnitude higher.

What We're Building

Core Fusion

  • • Vessel activity (AIS)
  • • Geopolitical signals
  • • Disaster alerts (GDACS/USGS)
  • • Structural concentration & corridor dependencies

Outputs

  • • Clear posture (WATCH / PREPARE / ACTION)
  • • 30-day Cost at Risk with ranges
  • • Restore Time tails (central + extremes)
  • • Driver attribution & trigger watchlist

Governance-first: provenance-labeled, replayable snapshots, audit artifacts, deterministic math.

Backtest Evidence

Calibrated against real-world crisis ranges (Red Sea 2024/25, Baltic EstLink, Vietnam multi-cable, Tonga volcano) while remaining conservative on central estimates.

An anonymized benchmark example will be posted here shortly. Full summary available in early discussions.

Still Early — Seeking Perspective

Looking for 2–3 subsea operators or resilience leads interested in early feedback and co-design discussions.

Email founder@radzgeoforesight.com