RADZ GeoForesight

Board-Defensible Corridor Exposure Quantification

Deterministic fusion of vessel activity, geopolitical signals, disaster alerts, and structural concentration — into posture, 30-day Cost at Risk, and Restore Time tails.

(Feedback form and anonymized benchmark screenshot will be added next.)

The Hidden Risk in Global Connectivity

Subsea cables carry 99% of international data — yet remain one of the most fragile layers of global infrastructure.

200+ faults per year. Repair times frequently 30–120+ days. Direct costs $1M–$100M+, indirect impact often orders of magnitude higher.

What We're Building

Core Fusion

  • • Vessel activity (AIS)
  • • Geopolitical signals
  • • Disaster alerts (GDACS/USGS)
  • • Structural concentration, shared landing points, and corridor dependencies

Outputs

  • • Clear posture (WATCH / PREPARE / ACTION)
  • • 30-day Cost at Risk with ranges
  • • Restore Time tails (central + extremes)
  • • Driver attribution & trigger watchlist

Governance-first: provenance-labeled, replayable snapshots, audit artifacts, deterministic math.

Backtest Evidence

Calibrated against real-world crisis ranges (Red Sea 2024/25, Baltic EstLink, Vietnam multi-cable, Tonga volcano) while remaining conservative on central estimates.

An anonymized benchmark example will be posted here shortly. Full summary available in early discussions.

Early Operator Feedback

Seeking 2–3 subsea operators or resilience leads interested in corridor exposure visibility. Submissions are private and reviewed directly.

Submissions are confidential and reviewed directly by RADZ GeoForesight.